Showing posts with label cotton. Show all posts
Showing posts with label cotton. Show all posts

Friday, January 14, 2011

Organic Cotton Mostly Remains A Third-World Enterprise

Organic cotton production remains a mostly small-scale enterprise carried out in countries with an abundance of cheap labor.

That’s the take-home from a press release issued this week by the Textile Exchange, formerly known as the Organic Exchange. The report was based on 2009-2010 production.

According to the release, global organic cotton production amounted to 1.1 million bales produced by 274,000 farmers. That works out to just over 4 bales per farmer. Most of the 22 countries covered in the organic cotton report were decidedly Third World and developing nations.

The United States placed fifth in terms of the amount of organic cotton produced, just behind China at fourth. India ranked first for the third year, followed by Syria and Turkey.

The release noted that worldwide organic cotton production has grown significantly in the last five years. But it still accounts for only about 1.1% of global production.

The release did not indicate the average yield per acre or hectare.

Here's a more detailed report.

War On Boll Weevil Runs Headlong Into The War On Drugs

What do drug violence and the boll weevil have in common?  Quite a bit if you're a cotton grower in the Lower Rio Grande Valley, writes Rod Santa Ana with Texas A&M University.

It will be a hot topic at the Cotton Pre-Plant Seminar and annual meeting of the Cotton and Grain Producers on Wednesday, January 19, at the Texas AgriLife Research and Extension Center at Weslaco, Santa Ana reported this morning.

Here's his report:

http://agfax.com/Content/texas-boll-weevil-eradication-hampered-by-mexico-drug-violence-01142011.aspx


Sunday, November 14, 2010

Cotton Consutlants, Mother Nature And The Danger Of Sweeping Generalizations

Cotton consulting has not gotten easier with the advent of Bt and Roundup Ready varieties.

Quite the contrary. It's become more of a challenge.

Dealer reps and Extension scouts who regularly work in cotton say the same thing. For every solution, there is a problem.

Here's how that's worked with cotton insects:

  • The shift to Bt cotton caused a corresponding shift in the insect complex.

  • Pests once considered minor became significant problems.

  • And in many cases, the newer pests are harder to scout or they complicate treatment decisions due to move away from broad-spectrum materials and/or insecticide resistance issues.
Through the years, we've conducted several consultant surveys, asking about business practices and in-field scouting methods. As early as 2004, we asked if cotton scouting was easier, harder or about the same in Bt cotton compared to conventional varieties. The response was heavily weighted toward harder. Also, consultants overwhelmingly indicated that it took more time to scout transgenic fields.

All of that was before most people recognized the coming of Roundup-resistant weeds, notably Palmer pigweed and marestail. Plenty of consultants who started their careers as insects scouts are now dealing with weed management issues. And for whatever reason, more leaf spot diseases are hitting cotton in parts of the South, adding one more hot spot of concern to the consultant's check list.

Some people predicted that Bt cotton would, in fact, make cotton consultants an endangered species. I heard that more in the Southeast than the Delta, perhaps. And demand for consultants fell off for several years. Between Bt varieties and declining cotton acres, many practitioners either left the business or learned to scout other crops, particularly grains.

One veteran Extension worker told me halfway through the last decade that in a few years there really would be no need for cotton consultants due to the near-universal acceptance of Bt cotton. With more research, he reasoned that pests like plant bugs and aphids could be managed with treatments timed according to degree-day accumulations.

He was dead wrong. Nature is always trying to fill empty spaces, which means that somebody needs to be checking.

I've been around long enough to have heard those sames kinds of sweeping generalizations about other new technologies.
  • In the 1980s, a few weed scientists said, half jokingly, that Johnsongrass might soon be on the verge of extinction with the introduction of that era's over-the-top grass herbicides. It didn't happen.
  • The same goes for Roundup Ready. Monsanto positioned it as a super herbicide, only to find that nature positioned a super weed against it, meaning pigweed. The handful of Extension specialists promoting resistance management were faint voices in the wilderness.
All this came to mind today as I read Roger Carter's weekly e-letter.

Carter, whose consulting firm operates in east-central Louisiana, discusses how pest spectrums have changed and what that has meant to the way consultants must now scout cotton.

Here's a link to Roger's comments.

They're well worth reading if you are a consultant, you pay one to check your crops or you're considering it.

But they're particularly important for any farmer who doesn't intend to use a consultant, dealer fieldman or Extension scout to check his cotton in 2011. The natural order of things keeps changing. If higher cotton prices are luring you back to the crop after dropping it for several years, forget most of what you remember from the last time you picked a bale of cotton. Depending on where you are, the insects may have a new game plan.

Read Carter's comments and remember that nature is always sneaking up on you.


- Owen Taylor

Wednesday, November 10, 2010

As Cotton Goes Up, So Does The Value Of John Faulkner's Novel, "Dollar Cotton"

High cotton prices appear to be having a spin-off effect on the value of John Faulkner’s 1942 novel, Dollar Cotton.

How much? In the previous decade, you could buy the last reprinting of Dollar Cotton all day long for less than $3 dollars a copy. I know that because I bought a stack of them.

Today, that same book -- and keep in mind, this is a reprinting, not a first edition -- is being offered on Amazon for more than 20 times that amount. And that's for a used copy. One book marketer is offering a never-sold copy for well over $200, also through Amazon.

Unfamiliar with the book? It was largely set in that period around World War I when British mills ran up the fiber’s price over fears that hostilities would block supplies coming from Egypt.

Cotton reached a dollar a pound, which made for heady times in America’s cotton country until the bubble burst and prices fell to almost nothing..

Vast wealth flowed into the Delta, where the story was set. It accelerated the clearing and draining of land in the Midsouth as more acreage shifted into production.

Now, cotton prices are above $1 again, something that’s only happened only a handful of times in the last century.

And as the price of cotton moved above a dollar this year, the value of Faulkner’s book began hitting new highs, too.

I know this because we collect first edition works by John Faulkner, the lesser-known brother of William Faulkner, Mississippi’s literary lion.

We own 3 first-edition copies of Dollar Cotton.

By “we,” I mean my business partner and wife, Debra Ferguson, and myself. I think Debra bought the first John Faulkner first edition, although it wasn’t Dollar Cotton. Like people who collect books or anything else, it becomes a quiet obsession. For me, the quest has been to find more pristine first-edition copies of Dollar Cotton, the only book John Faulkner wrote about the Delta.

Our 3 copies are in various conditions, depending on whether they came from a private collection or a public library. It’s hard to say right now what a first edition would fetch because it’s difficult to find any that are even on the market. A year ago, you could still run across them on a fairly regular basis through various internet sources.

But as the price of cotton started rising earlier this year, I began to sense two things.

  • First, demand was increasing. When somebody offered a first-edition Dollar Cotton, it didn’t stay on the market long. There seemed to be a quick turnover on eBay and Amazon.

  • Second, the price was edging upward. At one time, we could buy a first edition for as little as $75. The last one I bought cost $150, and that was without a dust jacket.

Supply and demand affects the used and rare book market just as it does the price of cotton. Book merchants sensed somehow that more people wanted to buy Dollar Cotton. As the supply dwindled, prices moved higher.

And if the market for paperback copies is any indication, the price for a hardback first edition would be considerably more than what we've paid for them in the past.

Several reprints of Dollar Cotton have been done over the years. The last reprinting was about a decade ago by Hill Street Press in Athens, Georgia. The image to the right shows the front of that particular edition.

The jacket price was $14.95 for what would be considered a “trade paperback” edition, meaning a book size somewhat larger than the traditional paperback.

As interest in that printing cycled out and merchants dumped leftover copies onto closeout tables, the price dropped drastically. I’ve seen it through the years for as little as $1.98 on Amazon, eBay and other on-line sites where people sell out-of-print books. At least until this year, plenty of paperback copies always were a couple of clicks away. If Amazon didn’t have it in its own inventory, plenty of after-market vendors were selling copies through the on-line book retailer.

When the last paperback edition went into a closeout section at Square Books in Oxford several years ago, our daughter Sarah – then a Southern Studies major at Ole Miss – told me that Dollar Cotton had been marked down to $2.99. I told her to buy every copy they had, which turned out to be 30.

Since then, Debra and I have given away all but 8 of those to friends who had an interest in cotton or Southern literature.

We were overly generous, as things look now. I wish our stock portfolio had done as well in terms of appreciation as this rather obscure book published at the beginning of World War II.

On Amazon this morning, the lowest price on that same edition was $64.50, and that was for a used copy. From there, used prices ran up to $153.56, depending on which Amazon affiliate offered the book.

Only one new copy of the reprint was being offered.

The price: $263.22.

No kidding.

I've got 8 copies just like it in my office storage room.

Granted, there’s no guarantee that that particular seller – or me – will find anyone willing to pay that much. But, then, you never can tell. How many people 2 years ago would have predicted dollar-a-pound cotton any time soon? Corn spread across the countryside, gins closed or were moth-balled.

The book, itself, is well worth reading if you can find a copy (and don’t ask me to loan you one of mine).

It has all the elements you’d expect in a work of Southern fiction – lust, violence, greed, racial conflict, forgiveness and grace.

The plot, itself, hinges on a simple principle that Faulkner, as a farmer, understood. That is:

  • What goes up must come down.
  • Or, to put that another way, don’t bet the farm on prices staying high forever.

The protagonist of the book, Otis Town, clungs to the belief that if his cotton was worth a dollar a pound last year, it should be worth a dollar a pound this year. Town didn’t know enough about how the world really worked to feel any reservations about holding on for a better price.

He thought he deserved a dollar.

I'd like to think that Faulkner intentionally wrote a tale about economics, the opposing forces of fear and greed that guide the market and the people who make decisions. Do you buy, sell or hold? Anyone majoring in ag economics should be required to read Dollar Cotton.

For that matter, so should anyone who hasn't yet priced the 2011 cotton crop.

And if you want to buy a copy, I'll make you a deal.

- Owen Taylor

Wednesday, August 04, 2010

Louisiana Hits Record Levels Of Bollworm Pyrethroid Tolerance For July

Louisiana State University this week released the charts showing how bollworm (corn earworm) pyrethroid tolerance compared in July to the same month going back to 1988. This particular chart tracks the lesser dose used in vial testing of moths.



Survivorship for both vial rates increased about 10% compared to 2009, according to a report issued in this week's Louisiana Crops Newsletter.

"This also represents the first time that survival has been measured above 50% for a monthly summary since testing was initiated during the mid-1980s," according to the report. "Bollworm tolerance to pyrethroids and high pressure within fields could lead to control problems in fields treated with a pyrethroid insecticide alone."

And, in fact, those kinds of control failures have been widely reported this season in both the Delta states and the Southeast.

"Pyrethroid insecticides should not be used alone at this time when bollworms are the target pest of an insecticide application," the report stressed. "When attempting to control this pest in cotton and soybeans, pyrethroids should be co-applied with Orthene (acephate) or other OPs to provide an additional mode of action and reduce the probability of field control failures."

Bollworm populations have increased, overall, in many Louisiana cotton and soybean fields, the report also noted. "The July moth trap captures from around the state are higher than that observed in previous years. These populations are the result of the generations that developed in Louisiana corn fields, but also migrated into the state from Texas."

The report was issued by Joshua Temple, Steve Micinski and Roger Leonard, LSU entomologists.

- Owen Taylor

Friday, April 16, 2010

Cotton: New Potential Pest, Cottonseed Bug, Detected In Extreme S. Florida

USDA has issued an advisory regarding a potential cotton pest that has been detected in both Puerto Rico and the southernmost island in the Florida Keys.

The pest, the cottonseed bug (Oxycarenus hyalinipennis), is a pest of economic importance in Africa and Southeast Asia, according to a report prepared by USDA’s Plant Epidemiology and Risk Analysis Lab in Raleigh, N.C. Some sources also list it as a major pest in Brazil and India.

According to the report:
  • It also is a potential pest on hibiscus and okra, among other crops. Israeli scientists, for example, have detected damage on fruit trees.
     
  • In cotton, it damages seed in open bolls by sucking oil. That reduces seed weight. Staining also occurs when the insect is crushed during cotton harvest.
- Owen Taylor


Friday, March 12, 2010

North Carolina Extension Agent Makes A Case For Twitter

In eastern North Carolina, cotton agent and Martin County Extension Director J.B. Coltrain uses Twitter to reach a small group of farmers interested in highly localized information: when to plant cotton and when moth counts reach a level that makes it advisable to use insecticides.

I cited Coltrain as a quick example this winter during a couple of ag conferences where I was asked to review new communications technology and how it applies to agriculture. Time was short, and I tend to talk too long, anyway, so I only briefly mentioned the fact that a North Carolina agent was using Twitter to file field reports but didn't go into further detail.

He actually does more with Twitter than just send out insect and crop reports. In the off-season, Coltrain uses the Twitter feed to announce production meetings and share information about such topics as cotton variety characteristics.

Even though Twitter is quick, easy and free, Coltrain hasn't dropped older methods of communication, like the recorded telephone messages he’s used to reach growers for years.

“I wish I could tell you that all Martin County farmers use this wonderful service, but they don’t. In spite of the fact that they have to do nothing once they set it up, that setting up part is the killer,” he says. “The dozen or so farmers who follow my tweets were basically set up by me.”

Tuesday, January 26, 2010

The Future Of Cotton?

Here's a thread from New Ag Talk, my favorite agricultural forum, about the future of cotton. Like these things go, it rambles a bit, but the comments from farmers in several states touch on both the immediate future of the crop, general planting intentions for 2010 and its long-term prospects.

See, in particular, the sixth entry about what apparently is an adjustment that John Deere has made to its marketing program for its module-building cotton picker in response to demand.

- Owen Taylor

Tuesday, January 19, 2010

Gowan acquires Intruder insecticide

Gowan Company, LLC announced this week that it has obtained exclusive U.S. marketing rights from Nippon Soda Co., Ltd. for Intruder 70WSP insecticide for use on cotton.

Until now, the product had been marketed by DuPont.

Intruder 70WSP contains the active ingredient acetamiprid, part of the neonicitinoid family of insecticides, discovered and wholly owned by Nippon Soda Co. Ltd.

Effective November 20, 2009, Tucson-based Gowan gained the exclusive distribution rights for Intruder 70WSP and will continue to position Intruder 70WSP as a premier cotton insecticide for use in the states of Alabama, Arkansas, Arizona, Kansas, Louisiana, Missouri, Mississippi, New Mexico, Oklahoma, Tennessee and Texas.

“Intruder has become an important tool in cotton insecticide programs and has demonstrated excellent field performance and recognition amongst growers on a wide range of cotton insects.” Chad Dyer, Gowan Company product manager, said in the announcement, which had been rumored at the Beltwide Cotton Conference earlier this month in New Orleans.

Intruder controls a wide range ofpests on cotton including aphids, thrips, fleahoppers, white flies, and plant bugs. The addition of Intruder 70WSP insecticide further strengthens the presence of Gowan Company in the cotton market while laying the foundation for future product development.

- Owen Taylor

Cotton seed availability: fewer choices every day

Scott Brown, Extension Coordinator in Colquitt County, Georgia, sent out a couple of advisories today regarding cotton seed availability. He sees several points of concern. Some people may think they'll get DP 555 but won't. Others who have not booked seed yet will find that some varieties already may be out of stock and others are dwindling fast.

Here's his report:

There appear to be a number of producers thinking that they have DP 555BR seed allocated to them for planting who have no idea how much they are going to get.

If arrangements were not made for 2010, use of BR cotton seeds prior to the September 30 deadline then there is no longer an option for getting them.

All producers who made arrangements for their BR seed before the September 30 deadline have been billed by Monsanto for this seed. Thus, if you have DP 555BR seed reserved for you then you should have already been billed for it at $25/bag, so you should know how many bags you will receive.

Unless you worked out some kind of deferred payment with your supplier and they received the bill for you, if you haven’t been billed for any DP 555 then there is a high likelihood that you do not have any allocated to you. I suggest that you ask the supplier you made arrangements with in September about your BR seed allocation for the details on these seed as soon as possible.

Further regarding cotton seed...

It was going to be pick-and-choose on a field-by-field basis in terms of cotton seed this year year, but it now appears that it will be choose-and-choose-again on a field-by field-basis.

Over the past few days, we have heard some disturbing revelations on the availability of seed for certain cotton varieties. There are reported to be shortages, placement or allocation issues with the following:

  • FiberMax 1740B2RF

  • Phytogen 370WR

We knew that the Class of 2010 form DPL would be limited, but now it appears that:

  • DP 1050B2RF will be very limited

  • DP 1048B2RF will be less limited than 1050 but more limited than previously thought.

  • DP 1034B2RF limited amount located here an additional limited amount should be available though order.

Phytogen 565WRF is already in the hands of distributors and, for the most part, what they have is all there is.

So, stop what you're doing, make your cotton variety selection on a field-by-field basis and then site down with your dealer as soon as possible.

We no longer live in the 555 world of one size fits all.

Monday, December 14, 2009

Mississippi Row Crops Short Course Programs Now On Line

AgFax.Com - Your Online Ag News Source

By Owen Taylor, AgFax Editor

In case you missed it, last week’s Mississippi Row Crops Short Course is available on line in a series of video presentations. The links below will take you to individual presentations covering cotton, rice, soybeans and corn. Topics include insect control, fertility, disease prevention and weed control, including a big dose of current information on Roundup resistance.

The programs include a small video screen showing the person making the presentation and a larger screen that flips through the PowerPoint images that support the talk.

The audio is a bit distant, recorded through the video camera that captured the presenter. But the sound is good enough that you can follow along pretty easily. In at least one case, the video shows an empty podium for a couple of minutes before that specific presentation started.

That niggly point aside, these presentations are a cost-effective way to make this excellent short course available to a wider audience. There’s no substitute for attending, yourself, but so many meetings get jammed into the late fall and early winter that conflicts occur.

This is the first short course MSU has put together that covers major field crops, and it replaces the long-running and well regarded Cotton Short Course.

The programs are available in the Microsoft Silverlight format, which enables this simultaneous viewing of video and PowerPoint data. While the Row Crop Short Course home page advises that the presentations should be viewed with Microsoft Internet Explorer, we can no trouble running them in FireFox 3.0. However, we could not run the presentations in Opera 9.2.

Here are the links:

Wednesday, February 18, 2009

Cotton: California dairy plunge may keep some acreage in cotton

How much will California cotton acreage fall in 2009?

Maybe not as much as expected. The reason: falling milk prices will decrease demand for corn silage, alfalfa hay and other raw materials needed by dairy producers. That means that at least some of the acreage expected to come out of cotton may, in fact, stay in the crop in 2009.

According to the National Cotton Council's planting-intention survey results, California upland cotton acreage might decline as much as 55% in 2009, plus the state could see some loss in extra long staple (ELS) cotton. If upland acreage fell that much in the Golden State, it would be the largest estimated decrease in non-ELS acreage in the U.S. this season among the major cotton producing states.

But as NCC pointed out in its press release, growers are still trying to figure out where other crop prices are heading as they determine how much cotton to finally plant. Plus, the survey was conducted in December before milk prices plummeted. Lower milk prices in California are further compounded by high production costs and surplus production capacity.

As dairy farmers ran short of cash, farmers who grow silage and hay for the dairy industry began to feel the pain, as well.

"Some farmers who grow silage for dairy producers still haven't been paid for a lot of last year's tonnage and may not be," said one of our contacts in the San Joaquin Valley (SJV). "We're hearing about bankruptcies and, worse yet, several cases where dairymen have committed suicide."

Another of our SJV contacts said dairymen have been trying to negotiate lower prices for silage, hoping to chop that cost by 40% to 50%. That send rowcrop producers looking for alternatives, and cotton keeps coming up on the list.

"We're still looking at a decline in acreage, but loss of dairy production may result in some land going back to cotton that might have otherwise been planted in corn or alfalfa," he added. "Farmers figure that at least they'll get paid for what they grow."

One crop consultant said this week that a farmer who dropped out of cotton completely two years ago expects to plant at least 200 acres this year. His growers figure that "the government program for cotton is more certain than anything else." He expects at least some land to come out of grain and silage and go into cotton. "This will be a minor shift, I think," he added.

While upland cotton will take the biggest hit in California, high prices for ELS Pima cotton have caught the attention of growers. Coupled with disinterest in dairy crops, that might help maintain more acreage. "I'm hearing Pima prices at $1.40 a pound, with predictions that it will go to $1.50," another consultant said. "Some farmers say they can't make Pima pay for less than $1.50, but we've got farmers who pretty regularly make 3 bale/acre Pima averages in good years, and they can make money at even lower prices. If a grower has water to grow cotton, that's where he'll put at least some of his acreage."

California, the nation's leading milk producer, has high production costs, even without last year's sharp run up in fertilizer and fuel expenses. SJV land has been at a premium for at least the last decade. Cities expanded, taking up prime farmland, and dairymen sold out operations closer to the Pacific Coast and relocated to the SJV. Land for dairy development in some instances sold for $15,000 or more an acre. Tax incentives further spurred dairy expansion.

Plus, California has its own milk subsidy program, which has encouraged more and bigger dairy herds. But the rug was abruptly pulled out from under dairy farmers this month when the state cut its fluid-milk subsidy by more than a third from about $1.50 a gallon to around 97 cents a gallon. That led to the lowest farm-gate price for milk in 30 years, said Steve Lyle, the California Department of Agriculture's public affairs director. Some dairies milking 1,000 cows could be losing $3,000 or more a day, according to one estimate. Years of equity are rapidly melting away as producers try to hold on until prices rebound.

California sets milk prices based on dairy futures trades on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange. With the recession, "world and domestic demand for dairy products have declined dramatically," he said. At the same time, inventories of milk and other dairy products have been on the rise. In mid 2008 the state's dairy industry made a big push to increase dry milk production to meet expected export demand, which has since evaporated.

One of our contacts in the SJV said that, ironically, some of that dairy surplus - in the form of cheese, dry milk and other foods - was being stored in a cotton warehouse.

Water, though, will be a limiting factor for cotton in parts of the SJV, especially on the west side of the valley where one major water district expects to have little or no water this year, based on current projections. Water in strapped districts will likely go to permanent crops.

-- Owen Taylor